E76: Elon vs. Twitter

E76: Elon vs. Twitter

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

0:00 Jason's new skincare routine, Sacks' Good Friday portfolio update, Bestie intros 3:12 Breaking down Elon's offer to buy Twitter and take it private: poison pills, board responsibility and more 30:50 Core issues of Elon vs. Twitter, analyzing reactions, breaking down Twitter's revenue per employee 43:10 Free speech and Twitter, predictions for how this saga ends, business film recommendations Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitte
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Transcript

SpeakerA
0m 0s
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0m 3s

You got, like, moisturizer all over your face. Are you moisturizing?

SpeakerB
0m 3s
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0m 10s

I am. My skin is so dry. I just got over having food poisoning, and I'm like. I dehydrate. Hold on. Let me get this off camera.

SpeakerC
0m 10s
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0m 10s

Off.

SpeakerA
0m 10s
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0m 12s

Look at this guy. You got makeup on.

SpeakerB
0m 12s
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0m 14s

It's not makeup. It's moisturizer, dipshit.

SpeakerA
0m 14s
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0m 15s

It's just as bad.

SpeakerB
0m 15s
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0m 22s

The reason you look like the fucking crypt keeper and I look spy and young and Schvelt is because I do a little skincare routine, okay?

SpeakerC
0m 22s
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0m 23s

Give me a fucking break.

SpeakerA
0m 23s
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0m 25s

Look at him. You turn off his camera because he's embarrassed about whatever you.

SpeakerB
0m 25s
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0m 31s

I'm not embarrassed. I just don't need you telling me. Sachs is in a fucking good mood.

SpeakerA
0m 31s
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0m 31s

What?

SpeakerB
0m 31s
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0m 35s

Salana up $0.15. Why are you so fucking happy, dummy?

SpeakerA
0m 35s
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0m 39s

Well, the markets are closed today. It's Good Friday. So my stock portfolio can't be down because the markets are closed.

SpeakerB
0m 39s
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0m 41s

Thank Jesus. Praise Jesus.

SpeakerA
0m 41s
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0m 45s

Yeah, it's a Good Friday. If the markets are closed, my portfolio can't go down anymore.

SpeakerB
0m 45s
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0m 49s

It's truly a Good Friday. Your portfolio will rise again.

SpeakerA
0m 49s
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0m 55s

It needs to be resurrected. Let your winners ride, rain man.

SpeakerB
0m 55s
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0m 56s

David Sack.

SpeakerA
0m 59s
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1m 3s

And instead we open source it to the fans. And they've just gone crazy with it.

SpeakerC
1m 3s
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1m 5s

Love you, queen of Kinwa.

SpeakerB
1m 7s
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1m 24s

Nowadays, he works in DNA, but in the 90s, all he cared about was the MDMA, the Duke of DNA, the titan of Tempeh, the shepherd of the soy boys. He turns water into wine and dollars into dimes. He's a foolio for Coolio. The Sultan of science himself, David Friedberg.

SpeakerD
1m 24s
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1m 25s

Welcome.

SpeakerC
1m 25s
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1m 27s

I have never done drugs, just for the record, but go on.

SpeakerB
1m 28s
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1m 32s

No, of course not. Of course. None of your behavioral problems in high school had to do.

SpeakerA
1m 32s
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1m 33s

Yeah, neither is Jason.

SpeakerB
1m 33s
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1m 46s

No, absolutely not. Not this morning. He's the VC who loves Brie. He'll sell you the sleeves off your vestee. He's enthralled with green wall. He eats uppers for supper. The rain man himself, David Sachs.

SpeakerA
1m 46s
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1m 47s

All right. Thank you.

SpeakerB
1m 47s
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2m 6s

You're welcome, Dan. All right, coming around the bend. That timepiece, what does it do? It reminds him of how much more money he has than you. The sweater is worth six dimes, Laura. Piano is above his line. Your supervillain with that 1985 Sasakaya, he be chilling. There it is. He loves spacs, just like junkies love crack.

SpeakerC
2m 7s
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2m 8s

He's your dictator.

SpeakerB
2m 8s
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2m 10s

Chamath polyhapat.

SpeakerD
2m 10s
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2m 11s

That works.

SpeakerB
2m 11s
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2m 24s

I'm, like, becoming the eminem of intros. I mean, I'm rhyming shit it's really solid, bro. I got to say. I'm workshopping it. A shout out to Nick, and one person on Twitter of 100 gave anything.

SpeakerD
2m 24s
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2m 27s

I'm moving into my spring sweater season, my spring sweater collection.

SpeakerB
2m 27s
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2m 38s

Oh, wait, hold on a second. I just got a call. Oh, yeah, confirm me. Nobody gives a fuck. Fucking Christ. He's the king of the inane.

SpeakerD
2m 39s
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2m 40s

I don't think it's inane at all.

SpeakerB
2m 40s
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2m 42s

This matters to exactly one person.

SpeakerC
2m 43s
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2m 46s

No, the person selling you the. That's not that.

SpeakerD
2m 46s
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2m 51s

I think if you took a poll on Twitter, there's a lot of people who silently hate it but love it.

SpeakerB
2m 51s
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2m 57s

I think there's a lot more who hate it. Let's get to all the news. So much news going on.

SpeakerD
2m 58s
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2m 59s

All the news. Where should we start, Jason?

SpeakerB
2m 60s
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3m 12s

I'm trying to think about it. Was there any news topic this week? Because obviously the war in Ukraine has obviously got everybody in America. Oh, wait, no, I'm sorry. That's not important anymore. We're on to the next thing.

SpeakerA
3m 12s
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3m 13s

There's only one issue.

SpeakerB
3m 13s
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3m 29s

Elon put in a bid to buy Twitter outright on Thursday and take the company private in a deal worth $43 billion. The most breaking news, when we're taping this on Fridays at 11:00 a.m. When we typically tape this, is that.

SpeakerC
3m 29s
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3m 32s

The board of directors, the professional board.

SpeakerD
3m 32s
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3m 36s

Of directors, has decided they would like to get personally sued.

SpeakerC
3m 37s
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3m 38s

This is the most insane thing.

SpeakerB
3m 38s
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4m 12s

I woke up and read this, and I was like, okay, they're creating a poison pin. I'm sorry, a poison pill that's going to give Twitter's existing shareholders the ability to buy more shares if Elon hits 15% of the company at a discount. Chamath, explain the concept of a poison pill, just generally speaking, and then give us your. Because everybody knows what's going on, but here we are in this whatever. I don't know if this is the 7th or eigth inning of this saga or it's the second, but where do you think we are in this saga? And then what happens on Monday? And describe a poison pill.

SpeakerD
4m 12s
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4m 38s

A poison pill is basically a defensive maneuver that a board of directors uses to prevent a hostile takeover. And basically the simple way it works is it allows the board to create enormous amounts of new shares and effectively dilute the potential hostile acquirer so that it becomes economically unfeasible for them to get enough shares to get controlled.

SpeakerC
4m 38s
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4m 41s

The way that they do that is.

SpeakerD
4m 41s
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5m 48s

That they basically give everybody except a person that crosses a certain ownership threshold. So let's use Twitter as an example. So the Twitter's poison pill basically says that if you get to 15%, you're essentially locked out from a right that then everybody else has. That effectively allows them to buy another share of stock at, I think it's a 50% discount. And so what it does is it creates an incentive to essentially almost double the fully diluted shares outstanding of the business. And what that does is it makes it almost impossible for the person with 15% to then go and acquire what's necessary to get to 50%. There are different kinds of poison pills. There's things that you can do with debt, there's things that you can do with equity, but that's the thing that Twitter did. I think if anybody's interested in it, Nick, maybe you can just bring it up, but you can google on Wikipedia, there's a phenomenal article called Revlon versus McAndrew and Forbes. And McAndrew and Forbes was the holding company of this very prolific deal maker in the named Ronald Perlman.

SpeakerC
5m 48s
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5m 51s

And what happened was he was the.

SpeakerD
5m 51s
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8m 11s

CEO of a company called Pantry Pride. And Pantry pride made an unsolicited hostile takeover bid for Revlon, which made makeup. And basically there was like $40 to $45 a share. The board instituted all these poison pills. The price kept escalating. Then a private equity firm stepped in, also tried to compete for the asset. All along the way, there was enough shenanigans that essentially what Ronald Perlman did was Sue Revlon, which went to Delaware court, and from it basically came the current framework of law that we use in this situation. And basically what it means is that board directors have these fiduciary obligations to their shareholders. And in some cases, these are very broad fiduciary obligations, meaning do the right thing. But in some really narrow circumstances, all of that collapses, and their sole focus is to get the best price. And what a director and a board of directors typically wants to do in a situation like this is not end up in that second bucket. They want to keep all their options available. They don't necessarily want to sell to one person. They're probably going to assume they're going to get fired from the board. They want to stay on for different reasons, et cetera, et cetera. And so right now, what Twitter and their advisors are trying to do is basically stay in that first bucket, have all of the options available to them, and not be forced to run an auction. And I think what Elon will try to do is essentially use the public pressure that's going to build and the existing shareholders who own stock at 40 some OD dollars, a chance to basically get a 20% payday by selling it to Elon for $54, or 53, whatever the price was. And the Twitter board now will have to justify how whatever they come up with is better than this, because then if they don't, and they're still exercising this broad fiduciary obligations, one thing I'll tell you as a public company director, it is a horrendous process when you get sued, and these guys will be in court for years. And the incremental pressure that this Twitter board has is that they can be held personally liable here. So I think it's getting very complicated very quickly.

SpeakerB
8m 11s
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8m 15s

On that note of personal liability, you have directors insurance.

SpeakerD
8m 15s
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8m 19s

So how can that Pierce doesn't cover it?

SpeakerB
8m 19s
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8m 21s

Have there been examples of this happening?

SpeakerC
8m 21s
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8m 21s

Yeah.

SpeakerD
8m 21s
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9m 14s

DNO insurance is kind of like DNO insurance is there. Director and officer insurance is a layer of protection that we all have as public company directors. We actually also have it as private, private company, sure. But the amount of coverage changes. But what I'll tell you is DNO coverage tends to be relatively nominal because the risk profile doesn't really include these kinds of tail events. And now what you're talking about is ten to $15 billion of equity value that's going to either get created for existing shareholders or get taken away. And typically, what courts will do is that they will look at the amount of money and they will start to think about compensatory and punitive damages as a function of how much money was made or lost. And so you're talking about a realm of risk. Now, for these directors, that's well beyond what DNO insurance will cover if a.

SpeakerB
9m 14s
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9m 27s

Lawsuit did happen, Shamath, you have to find damages. So if the board found a better offer, great. But if this thing goes down on Monday, Elon sells his shares and it goes down to 30. Now, you have the opposite effect.

SpeakerC
9m 27s
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10m 1s

Go ahead, Freebird. So I'll say two things. One is, in all these cases, by the way, the board is indemnified by the company. So the individual board members, I don't know if there's ever been a point in history when an individual board member has had to pay out of pocket for liability associated with their actions as a board member and as a fiduciary, except when they've done something to benefit themselves outside of the company. Now, in this case, the job of the board is to use their best judgment to do what they believe to be in the best interest of creating the most value possible for the shareholders.

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